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The Alliance Sud magazine analyses and comments on Switzerland's foreign and development policies. "global" is published four times a year (in german and french) and can be subscribed to free of charge.
Sustainable finance
20.03.2025, Climate justice, Finance and tax policy
The Swiss financial centre has demonstrated that it will not voluntarily give up business involving environmental degradation abroad. The Financial Centre Initiative aims to amend the Constitution to include a ban on new investments in coal, oil and gas by Swiss financial market players.
The rainforest in Pará, Brazil, is climatically significant and indigenous land. But it is increasingly being destroyed by deforestation, mines and infrastructure projects - mostly involved are Swiss financial players.
© Lalo de Almeida / Panos Pictures
Felling rainforests helps drive environmental degradation and global warming. That is common knowledge. Besides, illegal slash-and-burn practices often curtail the land rights of indigenous communities and also violate their human rights. Switzerland's banking major UBS knows this. Yet it invests in large Brazilian agribusinesses that are involved in illegal forest clearances in the Amazon, as revealed some time ago by the Society for Threatened Peoples.
Each year, Swiss banks and insurance companies fund or insure billions worth of business operations that degrade the environment and drive global warming. According to a McKinsey study, the Swiss financial centre is responsible for as much as 18 times the amount of carbon emissions generated in Switzerland. Already ten years ago, the international community enshrined in Article 2.1(c) of the Paris Climate Agreement the key role of the financial system in addressing the climate crisis. It laid out the goal of "making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate-resilient development." Switzerland has ratified the Agreement and is bound by international law to contribute to achieving this goal. Approved by an overwhelming majority of Swiss voters, the Climate Protection Act further requires the federal government to ensure the climate-friendly orientation of financial flows. But implementation is not going smoothly.
The Federal Council is relying on voluntary and self-regulatory implementation measures by the finance industry, and rejects any additional state regulation. It did, however, support a motion by National Councillor Gerhard Andrey (Greens) which provided for more stringent actions, should the measures in place prove ineffective by 2028. The Parliament rejected the motion in the spring of 2024, however, and saw no need for further action.
We are now seeing that voluntary promises by these banks are not enough.
By January 2025 at the latest, it became clear why the financial sector's voluntary measures and promises were worth so little. The six largest American banks and the world's biggest asset manager BlackRock reneged on the climate promises they had made just four years earlier. Speaking on Western Switzerland television RTS, Professor Florian Egli of the Technical University of Munich said: "We are now seeing that voluntary promises by these banks are not enough. They have reneged on their promises." The UBS, too, is considering withdrawing from the Net Zero Banking Alliance, in which, since 2021, numerous banks had committed to a net zero target by 2050. The banks therefore want to continue funding environmental degradation, if it increases their profits.
Anyone relying on voluntary measures is exposing itself to the whims of the financial sector, which is obviously guided not by climate science but by easy money and political winds. This is no way to combat the climate crisis. The International Energy Agency has long made clear in its Net Zero Roadmap that promoting new fossil fuel extraction is not compatible with meeting the Paris climate goals.
This prompted Climate Alliance Switzerland to launch the "Financial Centre Initiative" in late 2024, jointly with the WWF, Greenpeace and politicians from all the federal parties except the right-wing SVP. It is intended to ensure that no one else operating out of Switzerland finances environmental degradation and global warming. Should the Government and Parliament continue to sit on their hands, the electorate has the power to amend the Constitution to prohibit Switzerland's financial sector from funding or underwriting any additional extraction of coal, oil or gas. The same rules would then govern all players.
Alliance Sud supports the popular initiative in order that Switzerland can finally activate its greatest lever to enhance worldwide climate protection and fully implement the Paris Agreement.
The initiative aims for:
Alliance Sud supports the initiative because:
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The Alliance Sud magazine analyses and comments on Switzerland's foreign and development policies. "global" is published four times a year (in german and french) and can be subscribed to free of charge.
Climate policy
03.12.2024, Climate justice
Whether in regard to the CO2 Act or the new austerity programme: Swiss policymakers are relying increasingly on carbon certificates from abroad to meet their own climate target by 2030. Yet the plan could fail – the first programmes are already showing serious shortcomings. An analysis by Delia Berner
Old buses and ubiquitous face masks: Bangkok suffers from exhaust fumes, but do e-buses financed by Switzerland really help in Thailand? © Benson Truong / Shutterstock
In January 2024, Switzerland captured the world's attention – at least in the specialised world of the carbon markets. This was because, for the very first time, carbon emission reductions had been transferred in the form of certificates from one country to another under the new market mechanism in the Paris Climate Agreement. More specifically, Thailand had introduced electric buses in Bangkok and had reduced carbon emissions by around 2000 tonnes in the first year. Switzerland bought this reduction in order to count it towards its own climate target.
Let us take a step back: Switzerland plans, by 2030, to save more than 30 million tonnes of CO2 abroad rather than in Switzerland. The first bilateral agreements in that regard were concluded in the autumn of 2020, and their number has now surpassed a dozen. Several other projects are being developed, ranging from biogas facilities and efficient cooking stoves in the poorest countries, to climate-friendly cooling systems, and also to energy efficiency in buildings and industry. So far, only two programmes have been approved for attribution towards Switzerland's climate target. And the 2000 tonnes of CO2 savings from Thailand were in fact the first certificates to be traded. This means that much remains to be done by 2030 if there is to be a sufficient number of certificates available for purchase by Switzerland.
After inspecting case documents under the Freedom of Information Act, the "Beobachter" newspaper has now revealed that the very first programme in Bangkok is at risk of failing to generate any further certificates. Already a year ago, allegations began reaching the Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN) to the effect that the e-bus manufacturing company was violating national labour law and the right to the freedom of association enshrined in human rights law. Although a provisional agreement was reached a year ago, new allegations apparently surfaced this year, which the FOEN must now investigate. This is so because Switzerland cannot approve certificates if human rights violations were entailed in generating them. The FOEN was quoted in the "Beobachter" to the effect that it "can and will" suspend further issuance of certificates if the allegations are substantiated. Extensive investigation by the "Republik" magazine has brought yet more allegations to light. Supposedly, Switzerland was even implicated in an economic crime in Thailand by fuelling a 10-billion-franc stock market bubble and ignoring warnings.
The second approved project, too, will generate fewer certificates than promised. A new research by Alliance Sud into the cooking stove project in Ghana reveals that its planning entailed over-estimating emission reductions by as much as 1.4 million tonnes.
It is now already clear that, in general, foreign offsets are no cheaper and certainly no easier to implement than climate protection measures in Switzerland. The latter will have to be introduced sooner or later anyway in order to achieve the net zero target in Switzerland.
The first projects illustrate the difficulties being encountered in ensuring that a project effectively reduces carbon emissions by a particular amount and is also cost-effective. Doubts surrounding reductions have been the reason why many offset projects have made the headlines in recent years. Cost effectiveness is crucial, as the majority of the certificates are paid for by the Swiss public through a tax on fuel. To verify these two things, the FOEN would need to examine the projects' financial plans. It would have to be persuaded, for example, that project costs include no disproportionate margins or profits, but that as much money as possible is being invested in climate protection or sustainable development, with the involvement of the concerned population groups in the partner country.
Yet the flaws of the Swiss system of foreign offsets are becoming apparent here. Because the certificates are not bought by the Confederation but by the Foundation for Climate Protection and Carbon Offset, Klik, which converts the proceeds from the fuel tax into certificates, the "commercial details" are not revealed to the public. What this means is that no one knows the cost of saving a tonne of carbon emissions by using e-buses in Bangkok, or the overall amount of money being invested in the cooking stove project in Ghana – let alone what the yields accruing to private market participants look like. Moreover, in the case of the aforementioned project in Ghana, extensive passages were redacted in the project documentation that was published. The transparency is even worse than in the case of serious standards in the voluntary carbon market.
These challenges go beyond mere teething problems and reveal a twofold need for action by Swiss lawmakers. First, the lack of transparency regarding project-related financial information in the ordinance on the CO2 Act must be remedied. The ordinance is currently being aligned with the latest revision of the Act. Second, the image of foreign offsets as a cheaper and simpler path to climate protection must be corrected. Switzerland must move ahead with climate protection within its borders and again achieve climate goals after 2030 without carbon offsets. Alliance Sud calls on the Federal Council to incorporate this into the CO2 Act after 2030.
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Private climate finance
05.12.2024, Financing for development, Climate justice
Many people favour greater use of private funding to cover current and future contributions from the countries in the North to those in the South in their fight against climate change. A stocktake by Laurent Matile
Correcting inflated expectations: An initiative launched by Barbados' Prime Minister Mia Mottley to promote climate finance for developing countries has scaled back its demands on the private sector. © Keystone / AFP / Brendan Smialowski
"The numbers that are thrown around about the potential of green capital mobilization are illusory. [...] There is a lot of piffle in this area." These were some of the remarks made by Lawrence H. Summers, former US Treasury Secretary and President Emeritus of Harvard University, in wrapping up a panel discussion in Washington D.C. last October.1
At COP29 in Baku, which ended on 24 November, a new climate financing goal was agreed at the last minute: developed countries have pledged to triple funding, from the previous target of USD 100 billion per year to USD 300 billion per year by 2035. This is far too little in view of the needs of developing countries, which are estimated to total USD 2,400 billion a year. In a nebulous formula, it was further agreed to ‘secure the efforts of all actors’ to increase funding for developing countries, from public and private sources, to 1.3 trillion dollars a year by 2035.
Despite not being central to the COP29 agenda, mobilising private climate finance is still considered the silver bullet by many public and private players. The definition of "climate finance" does not in fact specify what portion must be covered by public and/or private funding. This vagueness has spawned much uncertainty as to the source of the funds being allocated to climate, and allows governments ample leeway in meeting their commitments. And there is great temptation to use private funds to fill the public funding gap.
The fact is that since the conclusion of the Paris climate agreement in 2015, many public and private players – the ones Lawrence Summers has in mind – have stepped up their efforts to advocate for the design of "innovative financial instruments" that benefit from public subsidies and invariably pursue the same aim: that of de-risking in order to "catalyse" private investments, whether for the climate or for sustainable development. And this credo is not about to disappear. In the back of their minds, numerous delegations, including Switzerland, are thinking that whatever the final amount owed by each developed country, it will be possible to secure a substantial part of it by "mobilising private capital".
Let us consider for a moment the current state of climate finance in developing countries. The latest OECD2 figures show that:
The OECD recalls (time and again) that "a number of challenges may affect the potential to mobilise private finance" to combat climate change in developing countries. These include the general environment that may be enabling (or not) for investment in beneficiary countries, the fact that many climate projects are not profitable enough to attract large-scale private investment; or, the fact that individual projects are often too small to obtain significant commercial funding.
Few ideas seem as hackneyed as the hope that a few billion dollars in public funds will be able to mobilise trillions in private investment for sustainable development and climate protection. This credo is increasingly being challenged, and not just by non-governmental organisations.
The Bridgetown Initiative 3.0, for example, has reassessed its expectations regarding the mobilisation of the private sector. Launched in 2022 by Mia Mottley, the charismatic Prime Minister of Barbados, the third version of this initiative was published in late September. It aims to rethink the global financial system in order to reduce debt and improve access to climate finance for developing countries. While Bridgetown 2.0 called for over USD 1.5 trillion per year to be mobilised from the private sector for a green and just transition, version 3.0 has scaled back the amount being requested to "at least USD 500 billion".
In the light of the outcomes in terms of the volumes and characteristics of private finance mobilised to date, a number of conclusions can be drawn:
Position of Alliance Sud
First, Alliance Sud is calling for most of Switzerland's "fair share" to international climate finance to be provided through public funding – with a balance between funds allocated to mitigation and those allocated to adaptation. Second, the call is also made for private funding mobilised through public instruments to be counted towards Switzerland’s climate finance only if its positive impact on people in the Global South can be duly demonstrated.
1 CGD Annual Meetings Events: Bretton Woods at 80: Priorities for the Next Decade, Washington D.C., October 2024.
2 Climate Finance Provided and Mobilised by Developed Countries in 2013-2022, OECD 2024.
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The Alliance Sud magazine analyses and comments on Switzerland's foreign and development policies. "global" is published four times a year (in german and french) and can be subscribed to free of charge.
Trade and climate
03.12.2024, Climate justice, Trade and investments
Imports of the most polluting products are to be taxed under the European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). No exemption is being contemplated for the poorest countries, even though they will be severely affected. Should Switzerland ever adopt this measure, it would have to make sure to put this right.
One of the world's largest uranium ore mines closed in Akokan, Niger. However, more are planned in the crisis-ridden north and are economically significant. © Keystone / AFP / Olympia de Maismont
The European Union (EU) takes its climate commitments seriously. In 2019, it launched the European Green Deal, designed to cut CO2 emissions by 55% by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. The programme encompasses a number of internal and external policy measures, including the European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR, see global #92). Another key European trade policy project is the CBAM, or Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism. Its purpose is to make importing industries subject to the same rules as polluting European enterprises. The latter must observe a cap on emissions, which, by the way, they can trade on the "carbon market" in order to comply with the limits set. These measures are designed to render investment in clean energy in Europe cheaper and more attractive. "The CBAM will encourage global industry to adopt greener technologies," European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Paolo Gentiloni has said.
Brussels adopted the CBAM in order to prevent production from moving to countries where the price of carbon is lower than in the EU, or even zero (known as "carbon leakages"), or to shield European producers from unfair competition. Under this mechanism, imports of particularly polluting products will be taxed at the border, starting with iron and steel, cement, fertilisers, aluminium, hydrogen and electricity. It took effect in the EU on 1 October 2023 and is being implemented in successive phases; the mechanism will be fully deployed as of 2026. Starting in 2031, it is expected to cover all imports.
The fundamental question is whether the measure is effective. The EU is optimistic. It estimates that its emissions will decline by 13.8% by 2030, while those of the rest of the world will be down by 0.3% compared with 1990. But the approach elicits sharp criticism from the countries of the Global South, which assert that it is negatively impacting their development. Others criticise it for failing to provide a general waiver, at least for the poorest countries. Moreover, UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD) has calculated that the impact on climate is expected to be minimal: the CBAM will reduce global CO2 emissions by a mere 0.1%, while EU emissions will diminish by 0.9%. It is nonetheless expected to boost the revenue accruing to developed countries by USD 2.5 billion while reducing the revenue going to developing countries by USD 5.9 billion.
In 2022, ministers from Brazil, South Africa, India and China called for discriminatory measures such as carbon taxes at borders to be avoided. The countries most affected by this mechanism are the emerging countries that are the leading exporters of steel and aluminium to Europe, namely, Russia, Turkey, China, India, South Africa and the United Arab Emirates. But Least Developed Countries (LDCs, a category created by the United Nations) such as Mozambique (aluminium) and Niger (uranium ore) will also be impacted. The welfare losses to developing countries like Ukraine, Egypt, Mozambique and Turkey are put at EUR 1–5 billion, a substantial amount considering their gross domestic product (GDP).
Let us take Africa, which is home to 33 of the 46 LDCs. A recent study by the London School of Economics concludes that if the CBAM were applied to all imports, Africa's GDP would contract by 1.12% or EUR 25 billion. Aluminium exports would decline by 13.9%, iron and steel by 8.2%, fertilisers by 3.9%, and cement by 3.1%. So, should the baby be thrown out with the bathwater and the CBAM declared to be anti-development? Probably not. The Belgian NGO 11.11.11. proposes that the least developed countries be exempted from this mechanism, at least initially, under WTO rules; or that they be taxed less than the others. When the CBAM was being discussed in Brussels, this possibility was considered then jettisoned by the Parliament, as the EU opted to secure more revenue. UN Trade and Development suggests returning the revenue from the mechanism to the LDCs to fund their climate transition. The EU is expected to garner revenue of EUR 2.1 billion, which could be channelled multilaterally via the Green Climate Fund, itself currently underfunded.
For now, there is nothing of the kind in Switzerland. Goods originating in Switzerland and exported to the EU are currently exempt from the CBAM by virtue of the Emissions Trading System (ETS), and the Federal Council has opted not to introduce any such mechanism for products being imported into Switzerland. The ETS represents the maximum amount of emissions available to industries in a particular economic sector. Each participant is allocated a certain quantity of emission rights. If their emissions remain below this limit, they may sell their rights. If they exceed the limit, they may purchase rights.
A parliamentary initiative was submitted to the National Council in March 2021 calling on Switzerland to amend the CO2 Act to include a border carbon adjustment mechanism, taking account of developments in the EU. Currently, that parliamentary initiative is still being discussed in the committees. The CBAM could be an effective trade measure for reducing imported CO2 emissions. But should Switzerland ever adopt it, it would have to make sure not to penalise the poorest countries, instead granting them exemptions, and returning a substantial part of the accrued revenue to assist them in making the energy transition.
International trade accounts for 27% of emissions
Greenhouse gas emissions generated by the production and transport of exported and imported goods and services account for 27% of global greenhouse gas emissions. According to the OECD, these emissions come from seven economic sectors, namely, mining and energy production, textiles and leather, non-metallic chemicals and mining products, base metals, electronic and electrical products, machinery, vehicles and semiconductors.
Action is undoubtedly needed on both the trade and production fronts – on the production front, for example, by promoting green technologies, technology transfer and climate finance. On the trade side, through other measures such as the CBAM, though without penalising poor countries. The latter must be assisted in managing their ecological transition and adapting to the new standards.
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The Alliance Sud magazine analyses and comments on Switzerland's foreign and development policies. "global" is published four times a year (in german and french) and can be subscribed to free of charge.
Swiss Environment Minister at COP29
29.11.2024, Climate justice
The UN Climate Change Conference COP29 has come to an end, while the climate crisis is destroying the livelihoods of millions of people. While delegates from the Global South criticise the inadequate climate financing, Swiss Environment Minister Albert Rösti shirks Switzerland's responsibility, citing budget restrictions and the mobilisation of private funds. This is an affront, writes Andreas Missbach.
Palm trees uprooted by Hurricane Beryl in St Patrick, Grenada, in July 2024. Houses and entire areas were destroyed throughout the Caribbean. © Keystone / AP Photo / Haron Forteau
On 17 July 2024, Simon Stiell stood in a damaged house on his native island of Carriacou and said: ‘Today, I'm standing in the living room of my neighbour’s house. My own grandmother's house down the street has been destroyed.’ That was the work of Hurricane Beryl, which had swept over Grenada and many other countries. He also said: ‘Standing here, it's impossible not to recognise the vital importance of delivering climate finance, funding loss and damage, and investing massively in building resilience, particularly for the most vulnerable.’
Simon Stiell is Executive Secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and, as such, responsible for the 29th Conference of the Parties to this Convention in Baku. On 22 November 2024, Swiss Environment Minister Albert Rösti stood in front of a television camera there and said: ‘We have budget restrictions, we have an austerity programme ...’. What is wrong in Bern is an affront in Baku. An affront to people in countries like Grenada, and it is an affront to the delegates from the Global South. According to a recent study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, the emissions already caused by industrialised countries mean that these countries will have a 20 to 30-per cent weaker economic performance in 2049, than without climate change.
Official Switzerland, on the other hand, has ‘budget restrictions’, despite its record low debt ratio. According to Britain’s Guardian newspaper, on the penultimate night of the talks, Switzerland was one of the countries, together with Japan and New Zealand, that opposed the increase from a rather measly 250 billion to a measly 300 billion dollars in climate financing by 2035.
Delegates from the Global South continued their protest even after this decision had been hammered through. Literally, as, with the words ‘It's so decided’, the chairman's little hammer decided when there was ‘consensus’. Chandni Raina, an Indian delegate, described the 300-billion-dollar pledge as ‘staged’ and called the final declaration of the conference ‘nothing more than an optical illusion’. Nikura Maduekwe from Nigeria had another go, saying: ‘This is a joke.’
What Federal Councillor Rösti further said in front of the television camera was also a very bad joke: ‘We can achieve this, for example, if private individuals also contribute.’ Even Larry Summers, a former World Bank Chief Economist, Economic Advisor to the US Government and Deputy Secretary of the Treasury, and to some extent the embodiment of the ‘Washington Consensus’, now refers to ‘private sector capital mobilisation’ as ‘piffle’ from people who ‘wish to appear highly statesmanlike and worthy and/or wish to attract very substantial subsidies’.
Besides, as the top UN official, Simon Stiell naturally had to sugarcoat the COP29 decision on 25 November 2024, but added: ‘So this is no time for victory laps.’
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The Alliance Sud magazine analyses and comments on Switzerland's foreign and development policies. "global" is published four times a year (in german and french) and can be subscribed to free of charge.
Investigation
20.11.2024, Climate justice
With the purchase of new cookstoves, Ghana is expected to save more than 3 million tonnes of carbon emissions, thanks mainly to women – as a substitute for emission mitigation in Switzerland. Alliance Sud criticises the project's glaring lack of transparency and highlights controversial details that project owners attempted to hide from public view.
A girl cooks with her mother in her home in Tinguri, Ghana.
© Keystone / Robert Harding / Ben Langdon Photography
Grace Adongo, a farmer from Ghana's Ashanti region, is happy with her new and more efficient cookstove. Instead of cooking on an open fire, she now places the pot on a small stove. She needs appreciably less charcoal, which both saves money and mitigates carbon emissions. This testimonial comes from the latest Annual Report of the Ghana Carbon Market Office and coincides with many others that are reporting on the numerous cookstove projects throughout the global carbon market. These projects supposedly help provide poorer population groups with cookstoves that are more efficient and less harmful to health than traditional stoves or fireplaces, which generate large amounts of smoke. This reduces wood consumption and carbon dioxide emissions (how much is highly controversial – but more on that later).
The principle involved is always similar. The cookstoves are sold cheaply. This entails customers transferring to project owners their rights to the emission mitigation outcomes. The emissions saved by the new stoves are then calculated over the ensuing years and sold internationally by the project owner as carbon certificates. The proceeds from the certificates are needed to subsidise the cookstoves.
From the personal standpoint of people like Mrs. Adongo, what sounds like a good thing is also precisely that. But the system as a whole is much more multilayered and contradictory. The case mentioned at the start, the Transformative Cookstove Activity in Rural Ghana, which Alliance Sud examines in detail in this paper, revolves around the government carbon offset market in which Switzerland imputes the emission mitigation outcomes achieved in Ghana to its own climate goals. A surprising number of venues also come to light in the process, and also warrant critical assessment from the standpoint of climate justice. Switzerland's cooperation with Ghana is also a good example of why the trade in certificates under the Paris Agreement is not conducive to attaining the ambitious climate goals.
Carbon certificates from this and many other projects are being paid for with a 5-centime tax assessed on each litre of fuel at Swiss petrol pumps. Owned by motor fuel importers, the Foundation for Climate Protection and Carbon Offset KliK provides the money for mitigation projects in Switzerland and abroad. Through carbon offsetting abroad, Swiss lawmakers aim to compensate for climate mitigation actions not taken in Switzerland, so that they are still able to meet the climate goals of the Paris Agreement.
Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, Switzerland undertook to halve, by 2030, its greenhouse gas emissions compared to 1990. With the CO2 Act, however, only about 30% of emissions can be mitigated in Switzerland – barely more than before the law was revised in the spring of 2024. The remaining 20% must be offset abroad. Under the Federal Council's savings package announced in September 2024, climate mitigation activities in Switzerland are also expected to diminish. The inevitable consequence is that Switzerland will need more carbon offset certificates if it is still to achieve the climate goals. That is not the meaning of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, under which the transfer of emission mitigation outcomes to other countries should lead expressly to "higher ambitions". To achieve this, Switzerland will have to ensure that the climate goals of both countries are consistent with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Switzerland has promised net zero by 2050. Because net zero is to be achieved globally by that same year, Switzerland therefore expects other countries also to set their net zero target at 2050. Measured against this yardstick, there are substantial gaps in Ghana's national contribution, up to 2030, towards the realisation of the Paris Agreement. Ghana has announced only a non-binding net zero target for 2060 and excludes oil production from its climate goals. When contacted in that regard, the Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN) writes: "The requirements of the Paris Agreement apply", and points towards the unilaterally set climate goals based on the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capacities. "In the process, climate goals must encompass the highest possible ambition and subsequent goals must be even more ambitious." However, there are no other criteria for the climate goals of a partner country.
A year ago, Ghana announced the expansion of oil production, adducing the lack of financial support for climate protection as the reason. This illustrates the fundamental problem: the countries in the Global South lack the international climate finance that should be forthcoming from the Global North by way of support. The upshot is that they opt for what they see as their second-best solution for raising funds, that of selling the outcomes of their climate mitigation activities as carbon certificates. The difference with climate finance is that Switzerland obtains the "right" to postpone its climate mitigation measures. On balance, ambitions for effective climate mitigation are being lowered, not raised.
Ghana and Switzerland approved this cookstove project in February 2024 under the bilateral market mechanism of the Paris Agreement (Art. 6.2). It is being implemented by the Amsterdam-based company ACT Commodities (project owner, see Box 2) and is projected to record a 3-million tonne reduction in carbon emissions by 2030. It is therefore incumbent on both governments to ensure that the project fulfils and maintains high quality requirements, which it promises to do. The Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN) verifies the relevant project documentation and publishes them upon authorization.
The project owner is ACT Commodities, an international conglomerate headquartered in Amsterdam. On its website, the company describes itself as the leading global provider of market-based sustainability solutions that is driving the transition to a sustainable world. ACT is a major player in emissions trading. But the company prefers to avoid too much transparency – its own website fails to mention that the conglomerate also has oil and fuel trading in its portfolio (through its sister company ACT Fuels, which has no website). This comes to light thanks only to a perusal of the Dutch commercial register. Since July 2023, ACT Commodities has also owned a company that supplies marine fuels, the dirtiest of all fuels. The conglomerate is therefore one of a growing group of commodity traders doing business with fossil fuels and simultaneously "greenwashing" themselves as players on the carbon market.
But the very first look at the documents reveals a lack of transparency: the project is as opaque as dense fog. Extensive passages in the project description are redacted, including virtually the entire analysis that is meant to prove that the project will lead to additional emission mitigation (see chart). But many other relevant facts and figures were also concealed. And the document containing the calculations showing why the CO2 reduction should amount to 3.2 million tonnes was not even published in the first place. That is not what transparency looks like.
Alliance Sud requested publication of the unredacted documents and calculations pursuant to the Freedom of Information Act (FoIA) – and had to wait four months owing to the project owner's initial refusal. Much, though not all of the project documentation was released thereafter. The passages that were still redacted were supposedly business secrets. It is now also becoming clear that in the original document, many places had simply been arbitrarily concealed.
Excerpt from the analysis of the project's additionality, originally redacted altogether.
The calculation methodology whereby the project in Ghana is expected to save 400,000 tons of carbon emissions annually over eight years is a key piece of information regarding carbon offset projects. Reputable certifiers in the voluntary carbon market require project owners to disclose these calculations. These data must be made available for scientific analysis – especially since a growing number of studies are identifying cases of over-crediting of emission mitigation through carbon certificates, including for cookstove projects.
In this case, however, the project owner is reluctant to do so – an unacceptable lack of transparency. Alliance Sud submitted an FoIA request and obtained a PDF copy of the calculation tables. Without being able to view the integrated Excel formulas, verifiability remains limited.
But the figures now available offer surprising revelations. The PDF document containing the calculations shows that for the years 2025-30, emission reductions for the same stoves are being calculated at almost twice as much as for the years 2023-24. The underlying reason is obviously a planned increase of the most key metric, namely, the fraction of non-renewable biomass (fNRB). This is an estimate of the amount of wood biomass by which the harvesting of fuelwood exceeds its natural rate of regeneration. Only reduced use of non-renewable fuelwood can be regarded as a reduction in carbon emissions. The metric is multiplied directly by the other factors and is therefore crucial to calculating emission mitigation. The overstating of the fraction of non-renewable biomass (fNRB) is the main reason for the sometimes-scathing criticism elicited by cookstove projects launched to date for emission mitigation purposes.
For anyone keen on the details, the project documentation showed an fNRB set at 0.3, which is more conservative than for many previous cookstove projects. According to the official UNFCCC reference study dated June 2024, this is an appropriate standard value, as it avoids massively overstating emission mitigation and is also consistent with the country-specific value contained in the study for Ghana, which is 0.33. However, the project now has a clause enabling Ghana and Switzerland bilaterally to adjust the fNRB retrospectively (upwards). The fact that concrete calculations are already being done, from 2025 onwards, on the basis of an fNRB of 0.7629 only comes to light from the PDF document containing the calculations, which was not originally published. The project description fails to mention that plans are already being laid using a higher value, even though it is still to be validated. The value 0.7629 comes from the outdated "CDM tool 30" which is deemed by the FOEN itself to be insufficient as a basis. In the spring of 2024, Ghana invited tenders for an independent study to determine a country-specific fNRB value for Ghana – obviously in the hope that a markedly higher value can be validated. If Switzerland is also to accept it, the study must pass the peer review by UNFCCC bodies. In the light of the aforementioned widely accepted reference study which calculates a country value of 0.33 for Ghana, that is likely to be an uphill task.
A look at the calculation document shows that as of 2025, calculations are to be based on an fNRB – the most important metric – more than two times higher (line in yellow). According to Alliance Sud calculations, this means that between 2025 and 2030, emission mitigation will be overestimated by up to 92%. All told, the overestimation is up to 79% (using the correct calculation for 2023 and 2024).
If a baseline fNRB value more than twice as high is applied, with no basis whatsoever, emission mitigation is being overestimated from the outset. According to Alliance Sud calculations, the project would reduce carbon emissions by 1.8 million tonnes at the most, if the fNRB value is held constant at the more realistic level of 0.3. But the project promises a reduction of 3.2 million tonnes of carbon emissions. It thus overestimates overall mitigation by up to 79%.
The absurdity of attempting to describe half of the project documentation as "business secrets" (in the first version of February) is clear from the fact that much of the concealed information is publicly available in other places. If few more minor items of information that had originally been concealed are even available elsewhere in the same document. Further information can be gleaned from Ghanaian Government documents, or can be deduced from other sources.
For example, from an online article by the Ghanaian authorities about a visit by the KliK Board of Directors, we learn who is the project's main distributing partner in Ghana – a Ghanaian company called "Farmerline". Farmerline facilitates access for farmers to agricultural inputs, thereby opening up the global agricultural industry to many new clients from Ghana. The project owner also attempted to conceal this connection. Several references to partnerships in the agriculture sector had originally been hidden in the project documentation, and specific cooperation is still redacted. There are reasons, as a closer look will show.
In June 2023, Farmerline announced its cooperation with Envirofit, the cookstove producer and the project owner's implementing partner. The project documentation also describes plans to sell 180,000 stoves to rural dwellers within a short space of time, and notes that the stoves will be available at more than 400 businesses for agricultural inputs. But some posts by Farmerline on the "X" platform do arrest the attention of readers. This year, Farmerline conducted an "Agribusiness roadshow" across various regions of Ghana in cooperation with Envirofit – and with the crop protection company Adama, a member of the Syngenta Group. On each day of the roadshow, farmers were presented with the efficient Envirofit cookstoves and Adama pesticides, both being put up for sale. Adama products are identifiable in the Farmerline videos, including three insecticides and one herbicide containing active substances banned in Switzerland and the EU because of their toxicity to the environment and human health. They are atrazine, diazinon, and bifenthrin. Atrazine pollutes groundwater, hampers photosynthesis in plants and is virtually impossible to remove from the environment; it is also classified as a carcinogen. Diazinon attacks not only the pests being targeted but all insects and can also be highly toxic to humans if it comes into contact with the skin. Bifenthrin poses a danger mainly to aquatic animals but should also not be inhaled by humans (see the Pesticide database maintained by Pesticide Action Network).
Sample photo from a Farmerline roadshow video in which the herbicide Maizine 30 OD containing the active substance atrazine – banned in Europe – is also being sold alongside cookstoves.
Furthermore, none of the videos contains a demonstration or the sale of appropriate protective clothing. According to various studies (Demi und Sicchia 2021; Boateng et al 2022; and others), the growing use of pesticides in Ghanaian agriculture is leading to considerable health problems for farmers. In the absence of instructions from dealers, many either do not know how to use the pesticides properly and protect themselves in the process, or they lack sufficient funds to be able to afford protective clothing. Besides, they obtain expert information mostly from their personal circles or from some dealers, but no independent agricultural advice is available. In their study, Imoro et al. 2019 found that 50% used no protective clothing at all and another 40% were not sufficiently protected. Asked whether protective clothing was also being sold at the roadshows, KliK replied that the highest standards of sustainability were of course a prerequisite for their cooperation partners. KliK writes that the issues raised by Alliance Sud with this question lie outside the scope of its discretion.
Thus, attempting to obtain a clear statement regarding the benefits of this offset project for sustainable development is still akin to stumbling around in the dark. Cookstove customers will indeed save money and, as there is less smoke, also hopefully improve their health. Yet, they are simultaneously being urged to spend the money saved on pesticides, the increased use of which is damaging the environment and also creating new health problems in many instances. From this perspective, KliK's assessment of its cooperation partners' "highest standards of sustainability" is erroneous. It is indeed reasonable to strive for synergies with existing players in the agriculture sector in order to reach rural dwellers. But had sustainability been the uppermost concern, a partnership with organisations that promote agroecological approaches would much more likely have suggested itself.
While the new cookstoves enable customers to make financial savings, the project is financially worthwhile for the investors on a much larger scale. It lacks transparency also from a financial standpoint in that the pricing of the stoves is redacted, and the prices of the certificates are a private matter for KliK and its business partners. Moreover, the FOEN is not reviewing a financial plan or anything similar for the project. Yet, from the additional information released following the FoIA request, it is clear that investors are likely to rake in handsome profits. The investors behind this project are invisible, but according to project documentation, can expect an annual return of 19.75% on their investment. A comparison is being drawn with Ghanaian government bonds in order to justify this absurd return. That comparison holds no water whatsoever, as the one thing has nothing to do with the other. The risks associated with investing in a government bond issued by an already highly indebted country are of an entirely different nature – which accounts for the high yields (although it does not legitimise them, as the high interest rates for poor countries are horrific and catastrophic – but again, that is another story).
What this case involves, in contrast, is a project partly financed and secured with quasi-public funds; this could be classified as blended finance, a mix of public and private financing. This is so because fuel importers collect a levy on fuel, by virtue of the CO2 Act. At a purely technical level, should the proceeds of this levy pass through government coffers – as other levies generally do – before being disbursed for carbon offset projects, that would make them taxpayers' money.
That would give rise to a public interest in ensuring that the proceeds from this levy are used efficiently. The funds must go towards climate mitigation and sustainable development in the country concerned, not towards gold-plated returns for investors.
Efficient cookstoves are an inexpensive way of improving the lives of many people while mitigating greenhouse gas emissions. Yet, there are considerable contradictions lurking in the market mechanism under the Paris Agreement when implementing climate mitigation projects in the Global South. It is meant to promote sustainable development locally, but is conceived as potentially lucrative business for investors. And while some emissions are being reduced in the Global South, the mechanism offers a political pretext for postponing climate mitigation activities in a country as rich as Switzerland.
Transparency in the certificate trade is therefore the key to discovering the multilayered and potentially problematic background to carbon offset projects. Switzerland's carbon mitigation project in Ghana is a telling example of this. Neither the overestimation of emission mitigation, the sale of toxic pesticides nor the exorbitant yields could be gleaned from the documents that were published following the authorization of the cookstove project. It was only through an FoIA request and further investigation that Alliance Sud was able to clear the fog of non-transparency shrouding the project documentation: what came to light was the approval of reckless calculation methods, business practices by implementing partners inimical to the environment and to people, and a questionable interpretation of transparency by the main players. However, the possibility of public scrutiny remains crucial to ensuring that carbon mitigation projects do not endanger implementation of the Paris Agreement.
This case is the second carbon offset project by Switzerland under the Paris Agreement to be looked into by Alliance Sud. A year ago, Alliance Sud and Fastenaktion elucidated the reasons why new E-buses in Bangkok are no substitute for climate mitigation activities in Switzerland.
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Climate and Taxes
04.10.2024, Climate justice, Finance and tax policy
Without the polluter-pays principle, international climate policy cannot be funded – without tax justice, it is not feasible. A mini-world tour with an unequal but perhaps soon symbiotic duo.
More and more activists and multilateral forums around the world are linking demands for tax and climate justice. Protesters at the Fridays for Future parade in Berlin, 20 September 2024. © Keystone / EPA / Clemens Bilan
It is really immediately clear – to be able to afford transitioning away from fossil fuels without major social dislocations, we must raise the requisite funds from those industries that were the first to enrich themselves from them, namely, the fossil fuels industry. Studies show that more than half of all worldwide emissions since 1988 can be attributed to the exploitation of fossil fuels by just 25 companies. No one has ever paid up for the long-term costs being engendered by these emissions, which are causing climate change. At the same time, the profits and dividends accruing to those trading in these fuels have risen continuously. Thanks to the price increases triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the 2022 profits of oil and gas companies skyrocketed to four trillion dollars
It is therefore no surprise that in the context of the urgent need for climate funding for the Global South, and in keeping with the polluter pays principle, the call is growing louder for additional taxation of these companies. This goal has long been present in international civil society under the slogan "Make polluters pay". A current study by the Heinrich Böll Foundation shows that in this very decade, a CO2 tax on the production of coal, oil and gas, called a Climate Damages Tax, would yield 900 billion dollars in OECD countries for managing the climate crisis.
The call for international CO2 taxes is almost as old as the Framework Convention on Climate Change itself. As early as 2006, the then Swiss Federal President Moritz Leuenberger used the Climate Conference to call for a global CO2 tax. Concrete agreement at the UN never stood a chance, however. But in view of the UN negotiations on a new climate finance target at the COP29 this coming November in Baku, pressure is growing for the available funding to be increased. This has recently prompted a range of players and countries to call for international CO2 taxes or other methods of financing based on the polluter-pays principle. The approaches vary widely, spanning national tax on profits from oil extraction, voluntary contributions from the extraction industry, and legally requiring enterprises to accept climate accountability. All approaches to international taxes will, however, require political will at the national level. Switzerland, too, should levy "polluter-pays" taxes on enterprises that profit from the fossil fuels business, in that way increasing its contributions to international climate finance.
Additional funds could be raised for ecologically restructuring our societies not only by levying additional taxes on fossil fuel producers, but also if governments asked their consumers to pay more. However, if the restructuring is to be not just ecological but also social, caution is advised when deciding on the right type of CO2 consumer tax. France, for example, has unpleasant memories of the violent street clashes between the "gilets jaunes" (yellow vests) and the police about six years ago in the middle of Paris. Those protests were triggered simultaneously by an increase in the fuel tax (eco-tax) that the French President wanted to levy on every litre of diesel being dispensed by that country's petrol pumps. By his reckoning, it would have garnered an additional 15 billion euros in revenue for the State. But this tax would have affected everyone equally: rich and poor, including people racing their Porsche TDI along empty French country roads, as well as those living in far-flung, non-metropolitan parts of France badly served by public transport and dependent on their rickety diesel vehicles in everyday life. The "gilets jaunes" movement was therefore supported not only by climate deniers and automobile enthusiasts, but also by many people whose already tight monthly budgets would have been busted by this diesel tax. This toxic mix constituted political dynamite. The liberal French government backed down and also slowed the pace of its climate policy agenda. At the same time, President Macron further renounced the reintroduction of a "solidarity tax" on high net-worth individuals, which had been introduced in the 1980s by the long-standing socialist President François Mitterrand, and which Macron had abolished as one of his first official acts in power. That would possibly have taken the social policy wind out of the sails of the "gilets jaunes".
Today there is a highly progressive wealth tax with a social and environmental dimension, among other places, on the agenda of the G20 countries. In a report published in November 2023, the NGO Oxfam International concludes that a global wealth tax on all millionaires and billionaires would raise 1700 billion dollars annually worldwide. An additional penalty tax on investments in climate-damaging activities could bring in a further 100 billion dollars. Combining these measures with a 60-per cent income tax on the 1 per cent with the highest incomes would generate an additional 6400 billion. Depending on business cycle and price trends, an excess profits tax can also generate massive amounts of additional revenue. According to Oxfam, such a tax would have raised another 941 billion dollars in each of the years 2022 and 2023 when inflation was high. These measures therefore have the potential to garner an additional tax take of at least 9,000 billion in a single year.
The premise of the 2024 report on the funding of sustainable development published by the United Nations Department for Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) is that the funding and investment shortfalls in connection with the UN Sustainable Development Goals of the 2030 Agenda amount to 2500 to 4000 billion US dollars. Using just the tools mentioned above, the 2030 Agenda could therefore be easily funded up to 2030 – to say nothing of reforms in other areas of development finance. Unlike Macron's diesel tax, a global wealth tax would certainly be in line with the polluter-pays principle within the meaning of international climate policy. According to Oxfam, in 2019, the world's richest 1 per cent accounted for 16 per cent of all global CO2 emissions. This meant that they produced as much CO2 as the poorer 66 per cent of the world's population, that is to say 5 billion people.
In November, UN Member States will negotiate a new collective funding target for supporting the countries in the Global South in dealing with the climate crisis. Funding in accordance with the polluter-pays principle is also a part of this discussion. The funding gap is growing dramatically and financial support is simply a necessity if the countries in the Global South are to continue their development using climate-friendly technologies, and avoid more loss and damage thanks to adaptation measures. The pressure for an ambitious funding target is accordingly great, and rich countries are challenged to increase their contributions significantly in the years ahead.
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global
The Alliance Sud magazine analyses and comments on Switzerland's foreign and development policies. "global" is published four times a year (in german and french) and can be subscribed to free of charge.
Climate justice
21.03.2024, Climate justice
Switzerland is not prepared for the burgeoning expectations regarding its future contribution to international climate finance. New funding sources must be found if additional funds are to be allocated for climate protection and adaptation in the Global South.
Extraction of fossil fuels in Bakersfield, USA. © Simon Townsley / Panos Pictures
Last December at the climate conference in Dubai, puzzled media representatives asked Swiss Environment Minister Albert Rösti whether he was comfortable with promoting the phase-out of fossil fuels by 2050. He reassured them that he was. The world will have phased out coal by 2040, he added, in line with Switzerland's position in the plenary. What he did not say was that phasing out coal, oil and gas will require several hundred billion dollars in climate funding for the Global South – per year. And another comparable amount will be needed to fund adaptation in least developed countries – which, despite having produced almost no greenhouse gases, are being ever more greatly impacted by the consequences of the climate crisis – and for compensating those affected. That will be several times the current financing target of $100 billion per year. The financing shortfall for climate protection measures in the poorest countries is growing constantly. Despite this, the funds being provided by those – like Switzerland – who caused the climate crisis, still fall short of the 100 billion promised. Besides, the debt crisis and other factors are hampering the self-funding capacity of least developed countries. Many countries in the Global South feel left in the lurch by the North.
Against this complex backdrop, this year's climate conference will be working out a new funding target. The yardstick will be the extent to which it enables the countries in the Global South to implement ambitious climate protection plans and adapt to global warming as best they can. An ambitious and credible new climate funding target is a must if, in the course of 2025, all countries are to submit new five-year climate plans that are in line with the aims of the Paris Agreement. The stakes will therefore be high when delegates gather in Azerbaijan in November for the negotiations, and expectations placed on the rich countries will rise substantially. Switzerland, too, should therefore be encouraging polluter countries to provide much more public funding for climate finance. In a guest article in Climate Home News, the chief negotiator for the Least Developed Countries (LDCs), Malawi's Evans Njewa, called on negotiating delegations from the Global North to cease hiding behind their parliaments: "They stress that they have no mandate, or possibility to scale up funds, as parliaments will not approve. So, as parliamentarian debates about budgets and allocations begin early in the year, they need to act now", he said.
This pattern can also be seen here at home. Despite speaking up, during climate negotiations, for the worldwide phase-out of fossil fuels by 2050 in keeping with the aims of the Paris Agreement, Switzerland is dragging its feet when it comes to funding, as it cannot point to any domestic policy decisions to increase funding contributions. In reality, the Federal Council is not even attempting to obtain additional funding from the parliament. Why is this so?
So far, Switzerland's climate finance contributions have come mainly from the International Cooperation (IC) budget, which itself is already receiving insufficient funds for worldwide poverty alleviation, and is now facing the prospect of yet another massive reallocation of funds towards reconstruction in Ukraine. This means that current climate financing is already being double-counted along with poverty alleviation projects. But new, additional money is needed if Swiss climate funding is to effectively help support climate plans in the Global South. The Federal Council should be working at the legislative level to devise alternative funding options so that IC funds can continue to go towards global poverty alleviation, the strengthening of basic education and health services, and towards other key tasks. A year ago, it entrusted the Administration with working out ways in which Switzerland could provide more climate funding in future. At the end of last year, an externally commissioned study was published without comment on the website of the Federal Office for the Environment. In it, experts recommend that Switzerland should tap into new funding sources, for example, proceeds from the carbon emissions trading scheme. Yet the Federal Council has done nothing so far. The new legislature plan indicates that, for the next three years, the Government has no intention of submitting an item of business on climate funding to the parliament. It will be relying exclusively on the new four-year credit line for international cooperation for the 2025–2028 period, which offers no scope for additional climate funding.
If the Federal Council fails to act – which would be irresponsible in this case, as the climate negotiations are within its remit – the parliament can also take the initiative. During the past winter session, National Councillor Marc Jost brought forward a motion to enable the parliament to draft new legislation on international climate and biodiversity funding.
The Baku climate conference is fast approaching – so what remains to be done? Switzerland must rethink its previous negotiating position on funding and strive for an ambitious goal that aligns with the needs of the people in the Global South and distributes the financial responsibility fairly among rich countries, as the ones accountable for the climate crisis. Only in this way can coal be phased out by 2040 and all fossil fuels by 2050. The international pressure to agree on an ambitious target will therefore be intense.
This will also inevitably mean greater pressure on Switzerland to scale up its contribution many times over. If funds are to be increased quickly enough, Switzerland must begin the legislative work now and find new sources of climate funding.
Evans Njewa puts it as follows: "We must all remember that without finance, there is no action, and without action we will never be able to manage the climate crisis."
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global
The Alliance Sud magazine analyses and comments on Switzerland's foreign and development policies. "global" is published four times a year (in german and french) and can be subscribed to free of charge.
Article
07.12.2023, Climate justice
Pressure from civil society and the media has rightly discredited the carbon markets. The current system is not delivering on its promises and is harming the Global South.
Edited by Maxime Zufferey
Excessive recourse to offsetting instead of a substantial reduction in emissions is in no way sustainable.
© Ishan Tankha / Climate Visuals Countdown
The voluntary carbon market facilitates the trading of carbon credits. It allows a company to continue emitting CO2 while offsetting its own emissions by funding projects that reduce emissions elsewhere. On paper, carbon offsetting is seen as the most effective market-based approach for achieving results in terms of reducing global emissions. The idea is to maximise the efficiency of available resources in reducing emissions by using them where they are most beneficial. For example, once a company has reduced its own emissions as cost-effectively as possible, it could then allocate resources to low-carbon technology projects or reforestation projects to arithmetically offset the emissions it has not yet reduced. In practice, however, the assumption that cheap carbon credits are the answer is much criticised. They are seen as undermining the goal of reducing emissions and helping, counterproductively, to maintain the status quo. More recently, increased scrutiny by civil society has raised doubts about the often-misleading promises of 'carbon neutrality' made by some companies under the guise of offsetting, while their emissions continue to rise.
The carbon market has been controversial since its inception in the late 1980s and especially since the signing of the Kyoto Protocol in 1997. Its development has given rise to parallel markets, namely the 'compliance' market and the 'voluntary' carbon market, which are sometimes difficult to distinguish due to the potential overlap between them. The compliance market involves mandatory emission reductions and is regulated at the national or regional level. The best known of these markets is the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS), which Switzerland joined in 2020. Under this mechanism, certain large emitters – power plants and large industrial companies – are subject to an emissions cap, which they can offset by buying allowances from other members who have reduced their emissions beyond the target. This cap is reduced each year. A laborious implementation process, the system has led to a certain reduction in emissions in the sectors concerned. However, there has been criticism that it has been too generous in allocating free allowances to large emitters, that it has allowed an influx of international credits and that it has not set sufficiently ambitious reduction targets. Furthermore, the price of carbon is still too low; it should reflect the social cost of a tonne of emissions and be gradually increased to USD 200. The voluntary market, on the other hand, currently has no minimum reduction targets and remains largely unregulated. Outdated carbon credits are also frequently used, as are credits whose quality and price vary widely, sometimes even below USD 1.
The crisis of confidence that has hit the voluntary carbon market is not only due to its unregulated nature and inadequate framework, but also to the technical limitations of the mechanism. Carbon credits rarely correspond to the exact unit of 'compensation' claimed, and their impact is systematically overestimated. This is due to the use of an unreliable quantification method and the lack of a comprehensive monitoring system that is genuinely free of conflicts of interest. Moreover, it is often unclear whether offset projects meet the additionality criterion, i.e. whether they would not have been implemented anyway, without the financial contribution of carbon credits. This is particularly true for renewable energy projects, which have become the most cost-effective source of energy in most countries. Another major challenge is double counting, i.e. the crediting of carbon credits by both the host country and the foreign company. This practice violates the principle that a credit can only be claimed by one and the same entity. The Paris Agreement has increased the risk of double counting because, unlike the Kyoto Protocol, it also requires developing countries to reduce their emissions.
There are also many doubts about the permanence of registered offsets. The extraction and burning of fossil fuels is part of the long-term carbon cycle, while photosynthesis, and hence the sequestration of carbon by trees or the absorption by the oceans, is part of the short-term biogenic carbon cycle. Trying to offset the long-term accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere with offset projects limited to a few decades therefore seems illusory. In addition, anthropogenic climate change itself, with the increasing frequency of fires and droughts and the spread of pests and diseases, threatens the storage of carbon in temporary sinks such as soils and forests. There is also the risk of leakage, where a project to protect forests in one region leads to deforestation elsewhere. As for the prospects for technological solutions using carbon capture and sequestration devices, these should not be overestimated. They are currently neither competitive nor available on the scale required in the short term. Even in the future, they are likely to play only a limited albeit necessary role.
More fundamentally, over-reliance on offsets rather than substantial emission reductions is unsustainable. As Carbon Market Watch points out in its report (Corporate Climate Responsibility Monitor) on the integrity of the climate change targets of companies claiming to be pioneers, the implementation of these companies' current 'net-zero roadmaps' is highly dependent on offsets. At the current rate, demand for land to generate carbon credits will far outstrip availability, directly threatening the survival of local communities, biodiversity and food security. At the same time, emission reduction projects popular in the voluntary market, such as reforestation and other 'nature-based solutions', are often based on 'fortress models' of conservation, in which protected areas are fenced off and militarily protected – at the expense of the original inhabitants. Far from being "empty spaces" to be planted with trees by polluters, these projects often take place on land inhabited by indigenous communities. The new gold rush for nature-based solutions through the privatisation of natural carbon sinks is exacerbating historic and complex land conflicts and confronting forest dwellers with the real threat of dispossession. This rings even truer when such projects deprive indigenous communities of their right to self-determination and to give their free, prior and informed consent to all projects affecting their territories.
Overall, the current system is woefully inadequate to the urgency of the climate crisis, and is also deeply unjust. It grants pollution rights to the biggest greenhouse gas emitters – mainly large corporations and economies in the Global North. They are allowed to continue with business as usual, while economic systems and lifestyles, mainly in the Global South, are restricted. This carbon colonialism thus shifts the responsibility for combating climate change and corporate deforestation onto local communities that have contributed the least to climate change.
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global
The Alliance Sud magazine analyses and comments on Switzerland's foreign and development policies. "global" is published four times a year (in german and french) and can be subscribed to free of charge.
Article
07.12.2023, Climate justice
In a carbon market that has demonstrated its limitations, an unexpected player has invited itself to the negotiations. Commodity traders have recently stepped up their CO2 trading, without scaling back their fossil fuel business operations.
Emissions trading has also attracted strong interest of the largest emitters, above all commodity traders.
© Nana Kofi Acquah / Ashden
Natural gas labelled "CO2-neutral" or concrete with "net zero" certification: the list of seemingly climate-neutral consumer goods has grown steadily over recent years. The accounting trick behind carbon offsetting is that a greenhouse gas emitter – whether a company, an individual or a country – pays for another player to avoid, reduce or cease their emissions. This enables companies to market themselves as they see fit by presenting themselves to their customers as committed climate protectors, even though they are not reducing their own emissions. The voluntary carbon market has reached a crossroads, oscillating between an outright boom and the crisis of confidence recently triggered by greenwashing allegations.
On the one hand, there is the economic reality of a voluntary carbon market, which quadrupled to USD 2 billion in 2021 alone – and could well reach USD 50 million by 2030 – and which is attracting strong interest from the biggest emitters, foremost among them commodity traders. This exponential market growth is attributable, in part, to the growing number of "net-zero" commitments by the private sector in the face of popular pressure and, in part, to the economic and logistical alternative that offsetting represents compared with reducing carbon footprints. On the other hand, damning reports about the poor quality of voluntary carbon market projects are coming thick and fast. They caution against the unbridled development of a market whose real impacts on climate protection is depicted as ranging from negligible to downright counterproductive. The ETH Zurich and the University of Cambridge have shown, for example, that a mere 12 per cent of all existing credits in fields where most offsetting occurs – renewable energies, cooking stoves, forestry and chemical processes – actually reduce emissions. Reports on the flagship South Pole project Kariba by the investigative journalism platform Follow the Money have told of vastly overestimated figures. The Zürich-based company then cancelled its contract as Carbon Asset Developer for the project in Zimbabwe. As for the NGO Survival International, it denounces a voluntary carbon offset project in northern Kenya, which is taking place on land belonging to indigenous communities. Their investigation uncovered potentially serious human rights violations that are jeopardising the living conditions of local livestock farmers.
What then is the voluntary carbon market? An ill-conceived marketing solution and dangerous distraction from the urgent need for transformative climate protection measures by the private sector? Or a genuine business opportunity to support corporate efforts to tackle climate change and a much-needed multi-billion-dollar cash injection for projects to cut emissions and protect the biodiversity in developing countries?
As a pioneer in the bilateral trade of CO2 certificates under the Paris Agreement, Switzerland is a key player in the carbon market, including in its voluntary segment. It is home to South Pole, the leading provider of voluntary CO2 certificates, and to Gold Standard, the second largest certifier. Perhaps more surprising is the market positioning of the Swiss and Geneva-based commodity trading giants, admiralships of a commodities sector that is posting one record a year after another. These new investments are explained by the potential of this opaque market to generate substantial margins and prolong business as usual. It is worth noting that this market is unregulated when it comes to prices or the distribution of revenue from CO2 credits. According to Hannah Hauman, Trafigura's Head of Carbon Trading, the carbon segment is now the world's biggest commodity market, having already overtaken the crude oil market.
In 2021, Trafigura – one of the world's largest independent oil and metal traders – decided to open its own carbon trading office in Geneva and to launch the largest mangrove reforestation project on the Pakistani coast. A year later, however, its coal trading volume increased to 60.3 million tonnes. In its 2022 annual report, not only did Geneva-based energy trader Mercuria declare its carbon neutrality, it also disclosed that 14.9 per cent of its trading volume comprised carbon markets, versus 2 per cent in 2021. In early 2023, Mercuria co-founder Marco Dunand announced the creation of Sylvania, a USD 500-million investment vehicle specialising in nature-based solutions (NbS). Shortly thereafter, he launched the first jurisdictional programme with Brazil's Tocantins State to cut emissions from deforestation and forest degradation, with a volume of up to 200 million in voluntary carbon credits. Even so, at almost 70 per cent, oil and gas still make up the company's main business. Vitol, Mercuria's neighbour on the shores of Lake Geneva and the world's largest private oil trader, can look back on over 10 years of experience in carbon markets and is considering expanding its activities in that field. In carbon trading, the company is aiming for a market volume comparable to its share of the oil market. For 2022, that share was 7.4 million barrels of crude oil and oil products per day, which corresponds to more than 7 per cent of global oil consumption. Communication is less transparent from crude oil trader Gunvor, which is also planning to ramp up its CO2 trading volume in the years ahead; the same goes for Glencore, which has a years-long track record in the area of biodiversity-related offset payments, central to its sustainability strategy. For 2022, Glencore estimated its emissions throughout the value chain to be 370 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent, or more than three times Switzerland's total CO2 emissions.
These companies describe themselves as drivers of the transition, and take credit for having accelerated that process by incorporating carbon trading into their portfolios. The fact remains that they are pursuing a two-pronged strategy by investing in both low-carbon and fossil fuels, with the latter still clearly dominating. Besides, none of these commodity traders has yet announced their intention to phase out fossil fuels, which is indispensable if we are to remain below the 1.5°C temperature increase stipulated in the Paris Agreement. The opposite is the case: companies are relying heavily on carbon offsetting to fulfil their climate undertakings, and this allows them to continue pursuing their short-term profit targets while delaying the worldwide phase-out of fossil fuels. Given the absence of regulations to limit fossil fuel investments and climate-degrading activities, it is illusory to think that the commodity trading industry can bring about the transition and that the goals can be attained through the voluntary carbon market. So long as companies fail to do the utmost to lower their own emissions, nature-based solutions will remain greenwashing, and declarations of intent in favour of the transition will be no more than a sham. These companies are pretending to put out a massive fire that they themselves keep feeding.
The UN Climate Change Conference (COP28), taking place in Dubai in December 2023, is expected to set the course for the future and the credibility of the voluntary carbon market. Among other things, the negotiations will cover the implementation of Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement, which could serve as a harmonised framework for a genuine worldwide carbon market. And to this end, the prominent role of COP President Sultan Al Jaber, CEO of the world's 11th largest oil and gas producer, the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) – which has just opened a carbon trading office – and the massive presence of fossil fuel and commodity multinationals at the negotiating table could well tip the balance. The requirements in respect of transparency, generally applicable rules and effective controls in the voluntary carbon market are therefore likely to be watered down.
While advocates of the voluntary carbon market acknowledge some of the sector's current shortcomings, they remain convinced that the various self-regulation initiatives, such as the Voluntary Carbon Markets Integrity Initiative (VCMI), and the formulation of standards will lead to a clear demarcation of credible carbon credits. Opponents, for their part, do not believe in the transformative power of a voluntary, self-regulating market. They see the discussion around carbon offsetting as a possible diversionary tactic that reinforces the status quo. They argue for a complete paradigm shift. The current carbon offset market based on the "tonne for tonne" principle – i.e., a tonne of CO2 emitted somewhere is mathematically offset by a tonne of CO2 saved elsewhere – should be transformed into a separate market for climate contributions based on the "tonne for money" principle, i.e., a tonne of CO2 emitted somewhere is financially internalised at the true social cost of a tonne of emissions. Thus, by setting a sufficiently high internal price for their residual emissions, carbon credits would become the expression of the environmental and historical responsibility of the private sector, without the latter being able to claim paper carbon neutrality. Only then would this instrument be a useful complement to quantifiable reduction commitments – and never a substitute for them! There is also an urgent need for rigorous due diligence for all carbon projects, including mechanisms to safeguard human rights and the biodiversity, as well as an effective complaints mechanism.
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